Earthquakes :
Kagan, Yan Y.,
Earthquakes : models, statistics, testable forecasts / Yan Y. Kagan. - 1 online resource. - Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown . - Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown series. .
Includes bibliographical references and index.
"The proposed book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes are employed to approximate the earthquake occurrence pattern and evaluate its parameters. The Author shows that most of these parameters have universal values. These results help explain the classical earthquake distributions: Omori's law and the Gutenberg-Richter relation. The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated"-- "Our purpose is to analyze the causes of recent failures in earthquake forecasting, as well as the difficulties in earthquake investigation"--
9781118637890 1118637895 9781118637883 1118637887 9781118637913 1118637917
2013045052
Earthquake prediction.
Earthquake hazard analysis.
SCIENCE--Geophysics.
Earthquake hazard analysis.
Earthquake prediction.
Electronic books.
QE538.8
551.2201/12
Earthquakes : models, statistics, testable forecasts / Yan Y. Kagan. - 1 online resource. - Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown . - Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown series. .
Includes bibliographical references and index.
"The proposed book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes are employed to approximate the earthquake occurrence pattern and evaluate its parameters. The Author shows that most of these parameters have universal values. These results help explain the classical earthquake distributions: Omori's law and the Gutenberg-Richter relation. The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated"-- "Our purpose is to analyze the causes of recent failures in earthquake forecasting, as well as the difficulties in earthquake investigation"--
9781118637890 1118637895 9781118637883 1118637887 9781118637913 1118637917
2013045052
Earthquake prediction.
Earthquake hazard analysis.
SCIENCE--Geophysics.
Earthquake hazard analysis.
Earthquake prediction.
Electronic books.
QE538.8
551.2201/12