China's Macroeconomic Outlook (Record no. 46929)
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005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
control field | 20160413122458.0 |
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020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER | |
International Standard Book Number | 9783642369230 |
-- | 978-3-642-36923-0 |
024 7# - OTHER STANDARD IDENTIFIER | |
Standard number or code | 10.1007/978-3-642-36923-0 |
Source of number or code | doi |
050 #4 - LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CALL NUMBER | |
Classification number | HB172.5 |
072 #7 - SUBJECT CATEGORY CODE | |
Subject category code | KCB |
Source | bicssc |
Subject category code | KCBM |
Source | bicssc |
Subject category code | BUS039000 |
Source | bisacsh |
Subject category code | BUS045000 |
Source | bisacsh |
082 04 - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER | |
Classification number | 339 |
Edition number | 23 |
110 2# - MAIN ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME | |
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element | CMR of Xiamen University. |
Relator term | author. |
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
Title | China's Macroeconomic Outlook |
Medium | [electronic resource] : |
Remainder of title | Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, September 2012. |
264 #1 - PRODUCTION, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, MANUFACTURE, AND COPYRIGHT NOTICE | |
Place of production, publication, distribution, manufacture | Berlin, Heidelberg : |
Name of producer, publisher, distributor, manufacturer | Springer Berlin Heidelberg : |
-- | Imprint: Springer, |
Date of production, publication, distribution, manufacture, or copyright notice | 2013. |
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
Extent | XIII, 40 p. |
Other physical details | online resource. |
336 ## - CONTENT TYPE | |
Content type term | text |
Content type code | txt |
Source | rdacontent |
337 ## - MEDIA TYPE | |
Media type term | computer |
Media type code | c |
Source | rdamedia |
338 ## - CARRIER TYPE | |
Carrier type term | online resource |
Carrier type code | cr |
Source | rdacarrier |
347 ## - DIGITAL FILE CHARACTERISTICS | |
File type | text file |
Encoding format | |
Source | rda |
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT | |
Series statement | Current Chinese Economic Report Series, |
International Standard Serial Number | 2194-7937 |
505 0# - FORMATTED CONTENTS NOTE | |
Formatted contents note | Review of Macroeconomic Performance in the First Half of 2012 -- Forecast for 2012-2013 -- Policy Simulation -- Policy Implication and Recommendations -- Comments and Discussions. |
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
Summary, etc. | Owing to the decline in domestic investment and trade with the rest of the world, China’s real GDP in the first half of 2012 was lower than expected. Based on forecasts from China’s Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM), the slowdown of the growth rate in 2013 will be moderate as a result of modestly proactive macro control policy. GDP would grow at 8.01 percent in 2012, and then rebound to 8.29 in 2013; CPI would fall to a 2.9 percent in 2012, and then would pick up to 3.27 percent in 2013. In the scenario in which the sovereign debt crisis in the euro area worsened in the second half of 2012, real GDP is forecast at 7.71 percent for 2012 and 7.5 percent for 2013. Even if the external economic environment becomes worse, China’s growth is expected to stay at above 7.5 percent, which might be a steady growth rate for the near future. If China plans to achieve a higher growth rate by launching the “2 trillion massive investment package”, the growth rate of GDP could be increased to 8.25 and 8.86 percent in 2012 and 2013 with a risk of inflation and worsening economic structure. The policy implication from CQMM: on one hand the Chinese government should be able to maintain the growth rate of around 8 percent by means of timely fine-tuning of monetary policies; on the other hand, the emphasis of the micro control should be placed on structural adjustments through fiscal policies. In the long run, deepening economic, social and institutional reform will be crucial to remove the significant structural imbalance and institutional barriers to market competition, to accelerate the transformation of economic development patterns, and finally to maintain a sustainable growth rate. . |
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Macroeconomics. |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Economics. |
Topical term or geographic name as entry element | Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics. |
710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME | |
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element | SpringerLink (Online service) |
773 0# - HOST ITEM ENTRY | |
Title | Springer eBooks |
776 08 - ADDITIONAL PHYSICAL FORM ENTRY | |
Relationship information | Printed edition: |
International Standard Book Number | 9783642369223 |
830 #0 - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--UNIFORM TITLE | |
Uniform title | Current Chinese Economic Report Series, |
International Standard Serial Number | 2194-7937 |
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-36923-0">http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-36923-0</a> |
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