TY  - BOOK
AU  - Smith,Jim Q.
TI  - Bayesian Decision Analysis: Principles and Practice 
SN  - 9780511779237 (ebook)
AV  - QA279.5 .S628 2010
U1  - 519.5/42 22
PY  - 2010///
CY  - Cambridge
PB  - Cambridge University Press
KW  - Bayesian statistical decision theory
N1  - Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 04 Apr 2016)
N2  - Bayesian decision analysis supports principled decision making in complex domains. This textbook takes the reader from a formal analysis of simple decision problems to a careful analysis of the sometimes very complex and data rich structures confronted by practitioners. The book contains basic material on subjective probability theory and multi-attribute utility theory, event and decision trees, Bayesian networks, influence diagrams and causal Bayesian networks. The author demonstrates when and how the theory can be successfully applied to a given decision problem, how data can be sampled and expert judgements elicited to support this analysis, and when and how an effective Bayesian decision analysis can be implemented. Evolving from a third-year undergraduate course taught by the author over many years, all of the material in this book will be accessible to a student who has completed introductory courses in probability and mathematical statistics
UR  - http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511779237
ER  -