TY  - BOOK
AU  - Kagan,Yan Y.
TI  - Earthquakes: models, statistics, testable forecasts 
T2  - Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown
SN  - 9781118637890
AV  - QE538.8 
U1  - 551.2201/12 23
PY  - 2014///
CY  - Hoboken, NJ
PB  - John Wiley & Sons Inc.
KW  - Earthquake prediction
KW  - Earthquake hazard analysis
KW  - SCIENCE
KW  - Geophysics
KW  - bisacsh
KW  - fast
KW  - Electronic books
N1  - Includes bibliographical references and index
N2  - "The proposed book is the first comprehensive and methodologically rigorous analysis of earthquake occurrence. Models based on the theory of the stochastic multidimensional point processes are employed to approximate the earthquake occurrence pattern and evaluate its parameters. The Author shows that most of these parameters have universal values. These results help explain the classical earthquake distributions: Omori's law and the Gutenberg-Richter relation. The Author derives a new negative-binomial distribution for earthquake numbers, instead of the Poisson distribution, and then determines a fractal correlation dimension for spatial distributions of earthquake hypocenters. The book also investigates the disorientation of earthquake focal mechanisms and shows that it follows the rotational Cauchy distribution. These statistical and mathematical advances make it possible to produce quantitative forecasts of earthquake occurrence. In these forecasts earthquake rate in time, space, and focal mechanism orientation is evaluated"--; "Our purpose is to analyze the causes of recent failures in earthquake forecasting, as well as the difficulties in earthquake investigation"--
UR  - http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/book/10.1002/9781118637913
ER  -