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020 _a9789048189489
_9978-90-481-8948-9
024 7 _a10.1007/978-90-481-8948-9
_2doi
050 4 _aGN370
050 4 _aHB1951-2577
072 7 _aJFFN
_2bicssc
072 7 _aSOC007000
_2bisacsh
082 0 4 _a304.8
_223
245 1 0 _aInternational Migration and the Future of Populations and Labour in Europe
_h[electronic resource] /
_cedited by Marek Kupiszewski.
264 1 _aDordrecht :
_bSpringer Netherlands :
_bImprint: Springer,
_c2013.
300 _aXIV, 350 p. 48 illus.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
490 1 _aThe Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis,
_x1389-6784 ;
_v32
505 0 _aAcknowledgements -- 1: Introduction: Marek Kupiszewski -- PART I: INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION - POLICIES, THEORIES, TRENDS AND ASSUMPTIONS -- 2: Migration policy in the European perspective: a primer for forecasters: Anna Kicinger -- 3: The use of international migration theories in migration forecasting – a practical approach: Marek Kupiszewski, Jakub Bijak, Anna Kicinger -- 4: Recent trends in international migration in Europe prior to 2002: Jakub Bijak, Marek Kupiszewski -- 5: International migration scenarios for 27 European countries, 2002-2052: Jakub Bijak, Anna Kicinger, Marek Kupiszewski -- PART II: PAST AND FUTURE OF FERTILITY AND MORTALITY IN EUROPE -- 6.: Fertility scenarios for 27 European countries, 2002-2052: Jakub Bijak -- 7: Mortality scenarios for 27 European countries, 2002-2052: Jakub Bijak -- PART III: HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT AND ASSUMPTIONS ON LABOUR FORCE PARTICIPATION IN EUROPE -- 8: Models and factors of labour force participation – theoretical and empirical considerations: Katarzyna Saczuk -- 9: Historical trends in labour force participation in Europe (1985-2002): Katarzyna Saczuk -- 10: Scenarios of labour force participation for 27 European countries 2002-2052: Kararzyna Saczuk -- PART IV: FUTURES OF EUROPEAN POPULATIONS AND LABOUR FORCE -- 11: Population and labour force dynamics model: Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski -- The futures of European populations and labour force, 2002-2052: Jakub Bijak, Dorota Kupiszewski, Marek Kupiszewski, Katarzyna Saczuk -- PART V: BEYOND OF REPLACEMENT MIGRATION: RESULTS OF POPULAITON AND LABOUR FORCE SIMULATIONS: 13: A development and critique of the concept of replacement migration: Katarzyna Saczuk -- 14: Population ageing, population decline and replacement migration in Europe (Jakub Bijak, Dorota Kupiszewska, Marek Kupiszewski, Katarzyna Saczuk -- PART VI: CRITICAL ASSESSMENT OF THE RESULTS AND POLICY IMPACT: 15: Critical assessment of the labour force evolution in Europe: Elzbieta Krynska -- 16: Demography rules in pension systems: Marek Gora -- 17: Recommendations for European social and population policies: Jakub Bijak -- 18: References.
520 _aThe changes of populations are determined by fertility, mortality and migration. On the national level, international migration is a factor of increasing demographic, economic, social and political importance. This book addresses the debate on the impact of international migration and economic activity on population and labour force resources in future. It presents a study conducted for 27 European countries, looking 50 years ahead (2002-2052). An extended discussion of theories and factors underlying the assumed evolution of the components of change and economic activity is included as well as a detailed analysis of the historical trends. These theoretical and empirical considerations lead to defining scenarios of future mortality, fertility, economic activity and international migration, which have been fed into a projection model, producing various future population dynamics and labour force trajectories. In addition, simulations have been made to estimate the size of replacement migration needed to maintain selected demographic and labour market parameters in the countries of Europe. The results presented in this book allow researchers, governments and policy makers to evaluate to what extent various migration and labour market policies may be instrumental in achieving the desired population and labour size and structures. The secondary purpose of this volume is to reveal the methodology and argumentation lying behind a complex population forecasting and simulation exercise, which is not done frequently, but is critical for the assessment of the forecasts and also valuable from a purely didactic point of view.
650 0 _aSocial sciences.
650 0 _aStatistics.
650 0 _aPopulation.
650 0 _aEmigration and immigration.
650 0 _aDemography.
650 1 4 _aSocial Sciences.
650 2 4 _aMigration.
650 2 4 _aDemography.
650 2 4 _aPopulation Economics.
650 2 4 _aStatistics, general.
700 1 _aKupiszewski, Marek.
_eeditor.
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
773 0 _tSpringer eBooks
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9789048189472
830 0 _aThe Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis,
_x1389-6784 ;
_v32
856 4 0 _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-8948-9
912 _aZDB-2-SHU
942 _2Dewey Decimal Classification
_ceBooks
999 _c48277
_d48277