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008 120928s2013 ne | s |||| 0|eng d
020 _a9789400751408
_9978-94-007-5140-8
024 7 _a10.1007/978-94-007-5140-8
_2doi
050 4 _aQA276-280
072 7 _aPBT
_2bicssc
072 7 _aMAT029000
_2bisacsh
082 0 4 _a519.5
_223
100 1 _aEckhardt, William.
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aParadoxes in Probability Theory
_h[electronic resource] /
_cby William Eckhardt.
264 1 _aDordrecht :
_bSpringer Netherlands :
_bImprint: Springer,
_c2013.
300 _aXV, 79 p. 5 illus.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
490 1 _aSpringerBriefs in Philosophy,
_x2211-4548
505 0 _aIntroduction -- Chapter 1. The Seven Paradoxes -- Chapter 2. Doomsday! -- Chapter 3. The Betting Crowd -- Chapter 4. The Simulation Argument -- Chapter 5. Newcomb's Problem -- Chapter 6. The Open Box Game -- Chapter 7. The Hadron Collider Card Experiment -- Chapter 8. The Two-Envelopes Problem -- Chapter 9. Odds and Ends -- Epilogue. Anthropic Eden.
520 _aParadoxes provide a vehicle for exposing misinterpretations and misapplications of accepted principles. This book discusses seven paradoxes surrounding probability theory.  Some remain the focus of controversy; others have allegedly been solved, however the accepted solutions are demonstrably incorrect. Each paradox is shown to rest on one or more fallacies.  Instead of the esoteric, idiosyncratic, and untested methods that have been brought to bear on these problems, the book invokes uncontroversial probability principles, acceptable both to frequentists and subjectivists. The philosophical disputation inspired by these paradoxes is shown to be misguided and unnecessary; for instance, startling claims concerning human destiny and the nature of reality are directly related to fallacious reasoning in a betting paradox, and a problem analyzed in philosophy journals is resolved by means of a computer program.
650 0 _aStatistics.
650 0 _aLogic.
650 0 _aPhilosophy and science.
650 0 _aProbabilities.
650 1 4 _aStatistics.
650 2 4 _aStatistical Theory and Methods.
650 2 4 _aPhilosophy of Science.
650 2 4 _aLogic.
650 2 4 _aProbability Theory and Stochastic Processes.
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
773 0 _tSpringer eBooks
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9789400751392
830 0 _aSpringerBriefs in Philosophy,
_x2211-4548
856 4 0 _uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-94-007-5140-8
912 _aZDB-2-SMA
942 _2Dewey Decimal Classification
_ceBooks
999 _c48508
_d48508